The latest update to the JL Partners/Daily Mail election model has shown that in recent weeks, Donald Trump has gained a 10-point lead over Democrat challenger Kamala Harris in the chances of winning the election come November.
The model calculates its decision based on the latest polling data as well as decades of election results and indicators. The latest update showed that Kamala Harris has the best chance of winning the popular vote, with 50.8 percent of the vote currently and a projected 65 percent chance of finishing with more votes in the election.
Trump, however, is given a 55.2 percent chance of winning through the electoral college, with Harris being given a 44.6 percent chance. The model found a slim chance of a tie between the two candidates. Trump’s current standing is an increase of four points since Monday and nine points since the low he saw post-debate.
“Things are continuing to move against Harris,” Callum Hunter, data scientist at J.L. Partners, said. “While September saw her gain ground as a result of the debate and changes in ballot access, things have started to settle back to where they were at the start of September.” […]
— Read More: thepostmillennial.com
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