Despite her recent surge in momentum – which as we noted earlier this week (and since 2016) is due to massive oversampling, Vice President Kamala Harris finds herself in a tougher position than her Democratic predecessors – Joe Biden in 2020 and Hillary Clinton in 2016 – in terms of how she’s doing vs. Donald Trump at this stage in the race. Polling data reveals that Harris’s lead over Trump in national polls is slimmer than those held by Biden and Clinton at comparable points in their respective campaigns, The Hill reports.
According to the latest data from FiveThirtyEight, Harris currently holds 47 percent support against Trump’s 44 percent, a narrow 3-point lead with just 62 days left before Election Day. Comparatively, Biden was ahead of Trump by 7 points at this time in 2020, while Clinton enjoyed a 4-point lead in 2016.
The RealClearPolitics polling average paints a similar picture. It shows Harris leading Trump nationally by just 2 points. By this stage in 2020, Biden had a commanding 7-point lead over Trump, and Clinton led by 4 points in 2016.
Challenges Among Key Demographics
Harris is also facing challenges among key demographic groups compared to Biden in 2020. Although Harris has made gains with Black voters since becoming the Democratic nominee, a recent Suffolk University poll found her securing 76 percent of the black vote, compared to Biden’s 82 percent at the same point in his campaign. Clinton was even further ahead, winning 92 percent of black voters in 2016, according to Suffolk data. Meanwhile, Trump now has 12 percent of the black vote vs. 4 percent vs. Biden and Clinton. […]
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