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The North American Electric Reliability Corporation’s (NERC) 2021 Summer Reliability Assessment shows that parts of the U.S. are at elevated or high risk for potential electricity emergencies this summer. According to NERC’s assessment, electric supply shortages may occur in the western parts of the country, Texas, New England and parts of the Midwest.
Article by Nolan Barton from Natural News.
NERC is a nonprofit international regulatory organization that oversees regional electric reliability entities in the Lower 48 states, Canada and parts of Mexico. At the beginning of each summer, NERC publishes a reliability assessment that tabulates anticipated electricity demand and supply changes and highlights any regional challenges or expected conditions that may affect the bulk power system.
The above-normal summer heat increases electricity demand from temperature-dependent loads like air conditioning. It can also cause heat-related problems to power plants, thus reducing electricity supplies. Wide-area heat waves can also pose a challenge to grid operators and may limit electricity transfers because the electricity is needed to meet local demands.
Resource and energy sufficiency, or lack of it, is a significant concern this summer in the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) that covers the western half of the country. Generating capacity and projected electricity demand are at similar levels as they were in 2020, when an August wide-area heatwave caused rolling blackouts.
NERC found that WECC sub-regions in the Southwest and Northwest have enough resources to meet electricity demand under normal peak summer demand conditions, but they are at elevated risk of electricity shortfalls if demand is higher. NERC calculates electricity demand based on past demands.
The highest risk of electricity emergency is in California, a WECC sub-region, which relies heavily on energy imports during normal peak summer demand and when solar generation declines in the late afternoon. (Related: Drought could force California power plant to shut down at hottest time of the year.)
“California is at risk of energy emergencies during periods of normal peak summer demand and high risk when above-normal demand is widespread in the West,” NERC’s assessment stated.
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The state has gained new flexible resources to help meet demand when solar energy is unavailable, but it is at high risk of an electricity emergency when above-normal demand is widespread in the West because the amount of resources available for electricity transfer to the state may be limited.
Last year’s rotating blackouts could happen again this summer
California utilities imposed rotating blackouts last summer, leaving over 400,000 homes and businesses without power for up to nearly three hours when energy supplies ran short during a couple hot days in August last year.
That could happen again this summer as utilities increasingly rely on renewable sources of energy.
In response to last year’s supply shortages, California utilities boosted total supplies to 63.4 gigawatts (GW), which is a slight increase from 2020, with another 3.4 GW of new resources in late stage planning for addition this summer. One gigawatt can power about a million homes in the U.S. on average, but as few as 200,000 during a hot summer day.
NERC warned that without those new resources, the California area would only have a reserve margin of 17.6 percent – which is below the 18.4 percent target local operators consider necessary to maintain reliability. The California area includes parts of northwest Mexico.
According to NERC, most of the additional resources expected this summer were solar that can provide energy only during the day but will not be available when demand remains high in the early evening. In addition to low reserves, California and the entire West will have to deal with heightened wildfire risk and a severe drought that has already reduced the region’s hydropower output.
Meanwhile, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) has relatively little unused electric generating capacity during times of peak electric load as it typically has one of the smallest anticipated reserve margins in the country. The electric grid of Texas is not connected to the rest of the national grid. (Related: Texas power grid was “seconds and minutes” away from months of total blackout.)
ERCOT’s anticipated reserve margin increased from 12.9 percent last summer to 15.3 percent for this summer as a result of adding new wind, solar and battery resources. Although ERCOT’s anticipated reserve margin is higher this summer, extreme summer heat could result in supply shortages and an electrical emergency.
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The Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) and ISO-New England have sufficient resources to meet projected peak demand. However, demand is likely to exceed capacity resources if above-normal levels of electricity demand occur in these regions. In that case, additional transfers of electricity from surrounding areas will be needed to meet demand.
Follow Electricity.news for more news and information related to electricity.
New Conservative Network Seeks Crowdfunding Help
They say we have to go big or go home. We’re trying to go big and bring the patriotic truth the the nation, but we need help.
Readers may or may not realize that over the past year, we’ve been bringing more conservative news and opinion outlets under our wing. Don’t take our expansion as a sign of riches; all of the “acquisitions” have been through sweat and promises of greater things to come for all involved. As a result, we’ve been able to bring together several independent media sites under a unified vision of preventing America from succumbing to the progressive, “woke,” Neo-Marxist ideologies that are spreading like wildfire across America.
The slow and steady reopening of America is revealing there was a lot more economic hardship brought about from the Covd-19 lockdowns than most realize. While we continue to hope advertising dollars on the sites go up, it’s simply not enough to do things the right way. We are currently experiencing a gap between revenue and expenses that cannot be overcome by click-ads and MyPillow promos alone (promo code “NOQ” by the way).
To overcome our revenue gap and keep these sites running, our needs fluctuate between $3000-$7000 per month. In other words, we’re in the red and hemorrhaging.
The best way you can help us grow and continue to bring the truth to the people is by donating. We appreciate everything, whether a dollar or $10,000. Anything brings us closer to a point of stability when we can hire writers, editors, and support staff to make the America First message louder. Our Giving Fuel page makes it easy to donate one-time or monthly. Alternatively, you can donate through PayPal as well.
As the world spirals towards radical progressivism, the need for truthful journalism has never been greater. But in these times, we need as many conservative media voices as possible. Please help keep NOQ Report and the other sites in the network going.
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We Often Feel Like David Taking on Giants
Today’s Goliath is the Mainstream Media Industrial Complex that brainwashes the masses.
Our mission is very straightforward: To counter the false narratives and nefarious agendas destroying America today. It isn’t easy for obvious reasons; despite incredible growth over the last year we are still a very tiny fish in a huge media pond. But we’re fighting and we will continue to do so, Lord willing, for as long as we possibly can. The battle for America’s present and future is too important for us to back down to the giants that stand in our way.
We need help. I don’t want to say “desperately,” but the need is definitely great. If you have the means, please donate through our GivingFuel page, PayPal, or our brand new GiveSendGo page. Your generosity is what keeps these sites running and allows us to get the truth to the masses. We’ve had great success in growing but we know we can do more with your assistance.
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